Tropical Storm MARIA Advisory 27 Σεπ.

ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM MARIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  43
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152017
2100 UTC TUE SEP 26 2017

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ISLIP NY       34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NYC CNTRL PARK 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

TRENTON NJ     34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NWS EARLE NJ   34  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

PHILADELPHIA   34  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

ATLANTIC CITY  34  2   5( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)

BALTIMORE MD   34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

DOVER DE       34  3   4( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

ANNAPOLIS MD   34  1   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

WASHINGTON DC  34  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

CAPE HENLOPEN  34  5   4( 9)   4(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

OCEAN CITY MD  34  6   6(12)   5(17)   X(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)

PAX RIVER NAS  34  4   4( 8)   3(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

WALLOPS CDA    34  7   6(13)   4(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)

RICHMOND VA    34  4   4( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

NORFOLK NAS    34  8   6(14)   4(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

NORFOLK VA     34 10   6(16)   4(20)   X(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)

OCEANA NAS VA  34 11   8(19)   4(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)

ELIZABETH CTY  34 13   8(21)   4(25)   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)

RALEIGH NC     34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ROCKY MT NC    34  5   3( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

CAPE HATTERAS  34 40   7(47)   4(51)   1(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)

FAYETTEVILLE   34  3   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

CHERRY PT NC   34 10   5(15)   3(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)

NEW RIVER NC   34 16   5(21)   4(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)

MOREHEAD CITY  34 12   5(17)   3(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)

SURF CITY NC   34  6   3( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

WILMINGTON NC  34  5   3( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

BALD HEAD ISL  34  5   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

LITTLE RIVER   34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

MYRTLE BEACH   34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
FORECASTER BROWN