Tropical Storm NORMA Advisory 17 Σεπ.

ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM NORMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172017
2100 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

P ABREOJOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  2  15(17)  13(30)   3(33)   1(34)   1(35)   X(35)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  2   8(10)  11(21)   2(23)   1(24)   1(25)   1(26)

LA PAZ         34  1   2( 3)   7(10)   5(15)   3(18)   2(20)   1(21)

LORETO         34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)

HUATABAMPO     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

LOS MOCHIS     34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)

CULIACAN       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ISLAS MARIAS   34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

MAZATLAN       34  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

20N 110W       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
20N 110W       50 92   1(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
20N 110W       64  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  6   2( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   1(10)   1(11)   X(11)

20N 115W       34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)

25N 115W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   5( 7)   2( 9)   2(11)

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
FORECASTER LANDSEA