Tropical Storm JOAQUIN Advisory 29 Σεπ.

ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112015
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
2100 UTC MON SEP 28 2015

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

CONCORD NH     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)

HARTFORD CT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)

MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)

NEW YORK CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)

NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)

TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)

ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)

BALTIMORE MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)

DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)

ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)

WASHINGTON DC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)

OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   9(13)
OCEAN CITY MD  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)

NORFOLK NAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   7(13)

NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   8(14)

WALLOPS CDA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   9(13)

GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  11(14)   7(21)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)

MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)   6(19)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   4(13)
WILMINGTON NC  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

COLUMBIA SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   2(10)

CHARLESTON SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)

SAVANNAH GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)

SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
FORECASTER PASCH