Tropical Storm GONZALO Advisory 17 Οκτ.

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE GONZALO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
2100 UTC THU OCT 16 2014

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
125 KTS...145 MPH...230 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  70(70)   X(70)   X(70)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  27(27)   1(28)   X(28)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  58(58)   X(58)   X(58)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  24(24)   X(24)   X(24)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  20(20)   X(20)   X(20)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  14(18)   X(18)   X(18)

BERMUDA        34  3  74(77)  23(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
BERMUDA        50  X  24(24)  69(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
BERMUDA        64  X   5( 5)  71(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)

$$
FORECASTER BERG
FORECASTER BERG