Tropical Storm DANNY Advisory 22 Αυγ.

ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE DANNY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042015
2100 UTC FRI AUG 21 2015

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANNY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

GREAT EXUMA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

MAYAGUANA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)

GRAND TURK     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)

CAMAGUEY       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

GUANTANAMO BAY 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

MONTEGO BAY    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

KINGSTON       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

LES CAYES      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)

PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)

CAPE BEATA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)

PUERTO PLATA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   8(14)

SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   7(14)
SANTO DOMINGO  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

PONCE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  11(15)   4(19)
PONCE          50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)

SAN JUAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  13(18)   4(22)
SAN JUAN       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)

SAINT THOMAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  13(22)   2(24)
SAINT THOMAS   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)

SAINT CROIX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  12(22)   2(24)
SAINT CROIX    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)
SAINT CROIX    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

SAINT MAARTEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  20(20)   8(28)   X(28)
SAINT MAARTEN  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
SAINT MAARTEN  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  20(21)   6(27)   1(28)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

BARBUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  25(28)   4(32)   X(32)
BARBUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
BARBUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ANTIGUA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  24(27)   3(30)   X(30)
ANTIGUA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
ANTIGUA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

GUADELOUPE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  21(24)   3(27)   X(27)
GUADELOUPE     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
GUADELOUPE     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)

AVES           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   5(16)   1(17)
AVES           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
AVES           64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

DOMINICA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)   2(15)   X(15)
DOMINICA       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
DOMINICA       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

MARTINIQUE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   2(12)   X(12)
MARTINIQUE     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAINT LUCIA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)

SAINT VINCENT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

BARBADOS       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
FORECASTER BEVEN