Tropical Storm NORBERT Advisory 05 Σεπ.

ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE NORBERT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142014
2100 UTC THU SEP 04 2014

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORBERT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

P ABREOJOS     34  X   4( 4)   8(12)  12(24)   5(29)   1(30)   X(30)
P ABREOJOS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

CABO SAN LUCAS 34 54   2(56)   1(57)   1(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  2   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAN JOSE CABO  34 31   5(36)   2(38)   X(38)   1(39)   X(39)   X(39)

LA PAZ         34 10  16(26)   4(30)   1(31)   1(32)   X(32)   X(32)

LORETO         34  2   3( 5)   7(12)   3(15)   2(17)   X(17)   X(17)

BAHIA KINO     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)

GUAYMAS        34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

HUATABAMPO     34  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

LOS MOCHIS     34  2   2( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

CULIACAN       34  3   3( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  3   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

ISLA CLARION   34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
FORECASTER BLAKE